SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 56.5%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Niort had a probability of 19.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.07%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Niort win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guingamp would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Guingamp | Draw | Niort |
56.5% ( -0.09) | 24.22% ( 0.03) | 19.28% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 46.96% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.51% ( -0) | 53.49% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.99% ( -0) | 75.01% ( 0) |
| Guingamp Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.2% ( -0.03) | 18.8% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.79% ( -0.06) | 50.21% ( 0.07) |
| Niort Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.82% ( 0.08) | 42.17% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.41% ( 0.07) | 78.58% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guingamp | Draw | Niort |
| 1-0 @ 13.24% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 11.07% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 3.05% Total : 56.49% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.93% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.73% Total : 24.21% | 0-1 @ 6.84% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 1.93% Total : 19.28% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Le HavreLe Havre | 37 | 19 | 15 | 3 | 45 | 19 | 26 | 72 |
| 2 | Metz | 37 | 19 | 12 | 6 | 58 | 31 | 27 | 69 |
| 3 | Bordeaux | 37 | 20 | 9 | 8 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 69 |
| 4 | Bastia | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 60 |
| 5 | Caen | 37 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 42 | 10 | 59 |
| 6 | Sochaux | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 52 |
| 7 | GuingampGuingamp | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 52 |
| 8 | Paris FCParis FC | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 52 |
| 9 | Grenoble | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 51 |
| 10 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 50 |
| 11 | Quevilly | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 49 |
| 12 | AmiensAmiens | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 47 |
| 13 | Valenciennes | 37 | 10 | 15 | 12 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 45 |
| 14 | Annecy | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 45 |
| 15 | PauPau | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 44 |
| 16 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 43 |
| 17 | Laval | 37 | 13 | 4 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 43 |
| 18 | Dijon | 37 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 42 |
| 19 | Nimes | 37 | 9 | 6 | 22 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 33 |
| 20 | NiortNiort | 37 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 32 | 64 | -32 | 28 |
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