SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Concarneau win with a probability of 41.23%. A win for Valenciennes had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Concarneau win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Valenciennes win was 0-1 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Concarneau in this match.
| Result | ||
| Concarneau | Draw | Valenciennes |
41.23% ( 0.11) | 27.19% ( -0.04) | 31.58% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 49.48% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.2% ( 0.12) | 55.79% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.07% ( 0.1) | 76.92% ( -0.1) |
| Concarneau Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.36% ( 0.11) | 26.63% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.13% ( 0.15) | 61.87% ( -0.15) |
| Valenciennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.44% ( 0.01) | 32.56% ( -0.01) |
