Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 42.5%. A win for Dunkerque had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Dunkerque win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
-0.08) 
0.32) 
