SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.54%) and 2-1 (7.43%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 0-1 (12.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bastia | Draw | Le Havre |
38.06% ( 0.37) | 29.99% ( -0.11) | 31.95% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 41.85% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.7% ( 0.31) | 65.3% ( -0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.9% ( 0.21) | 84.1% ( -0.21) |
| Bastia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.82% ( 0.4) | 33.18% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.21% ( 0.44) | 69.79% ( -0.44) |
| Le Havre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.64% ( -0.02) | 37.36% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.85% ( -0.02) | 74.15% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bastia | Draw | Le Havre |
| 1-0 @ 13.67% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 7.43% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.56% Total : 38.05% | 1-1 @ 13.46% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 12.39% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.98% | 0-1 @ 12.2% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.76% Total : 31.95% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Le HavreLe Havre | 37 | 19 | 15 | 3 | 45 | 19 | 26 | 72 |
| 2 | Metz | 37 | 19 | 12 | 6 | 58 | 31 | 27 | 69 |
| 3 | Bordeaux | 37 | 20 | 9 | 8 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 69 |
| 4 | Bastia | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 60 |
| 5 | Caen | 37 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 42 | 10 | 59 |
| 6 | Sochaux | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 52 |
| 7 | GuingampGuingamp | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 52 |
| 8 | Paris FCParis FC | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 52 |
| 9 | Grenoble | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 51 |
| 10 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 50 |
| 11 | Quevilly | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 49 |
| 12 | AmiensAmiens | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 47 |
| 13 | Valenciennes | 37 | 10 | 15 | 12 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 45 |
| 14 | Annecy | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 45 |
| 15 | PauPau | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 44 |
| 16 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 43 |
| 17 | Laval | 37 | 13 | 4 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 43 |
| 18 | Dijon | 37 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 42 |
| 19 | Nimes | 37 | 9 | 6 | 22 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 33 |
| 20 | NiortNiort | 37 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 32 | 64 | -32 | 28 |
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