SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 48.72%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Annecy had a probability of 24.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.84%) and 1-2 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for an Annecy win it was 1-0 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Annecy | Draw | Le Havre |
24.11% ( 0.23) | 27.17% ( -0.32) | 48.72% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 44.84% ( 1.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.59% ( 1.22) | 59.41% ( -1.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.22% ( 0.93) | 79.78% ( -0.93) |
| Annecy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.39% ( 0.91) | 40.6% ( -0.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.8% ( 0.81) | 77.2% ( -0.81) |
| Le Havre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.49% ( 0.59) | 24.51% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.03% ( 0.82) | 58.97% ( -0.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Annecy | Draw | Le Havre |
| 1-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.29% Total : 24.11% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 9.95% ( -0.46)2-2 @ 4% ( 0.15)Other @ 0.61% Total : 27.17% | 0-1 @ 13.99% ( -0.41) 0-2 @ 9.84% ( -0.12)1-2 @ 8.87% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 4.61% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.16% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.1)0-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.3% Total : 48.72% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Le HavreLe Havre | 37 | 19 | 15 | 3 | 45 | 19 | 26 | 72 |
| 2 | Metz | 37 | 19 | 12 | 6 | 58 | 31 | 27 | 69 |
| 3 | Bordeaux | 37 | 20 | 9 | 8 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 69 |
| 4 | Bastia | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 60 |
| 5 | Caen | 37 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 42 | 10 | 59 |
| 6 | Sochaux | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 52 |
| 7 | GuingampGuingamp | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 52 |
| 8 | Paris FCParis FC | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 52 |
| 9 | Grenoble | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 51 |
| 10 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 50 |
| 11 | Quevilly | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 49 |
| 12 | AmiensAmiens | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 47 |
| 13 | Valenciennes | 37 | 10 | 15 | 12 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 45 |
| 14 | Annecy | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 45 |
| 15 | PauPau | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 44 |
| 16 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 43 |
| 17 | Laval | 37 | 13 | 4 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 43 |
| 18 | Dijon | 37 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 42 |
| 19 | Nimes | 37 | 9 | 6 | 22 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 33 |
| 20 | NiortNiort | 37 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 32 | 64 | -32 | 28 |
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