SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annecy win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Valenciennes had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annecy win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Valenciennes win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Annecy would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Annecy | Draw | Valenciennes |
42.2% ( -0.04) | 27.03% ( 0.02) | 30.76% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.63% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.55% ( -0.06) | 55.45% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.36% ( -0.05) | 76.64% ( 0.05) |
| Annecy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.04% ( -0.05) | 25.96% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.03% ( -0.06) | 60.97% ( 0.06) |
| Valenciennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.04% ( -0.02) | 32.96% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.45% ( -0.02) | 69.54% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Annecy | Draw | Valenciennes |
| 1-0 @ 11.53% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.78% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 2.22% Total : 42.19% | 1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.03% | 0-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.11% 0-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.63% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.95% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0)Other @ 2.54% Total : 30.76% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Le HavreLe Havre | 35 | 19 | 14 | 2 | 44 | 16 | 28 | 71 |
| 2 | Bordeaux | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 51 | 26 | 25 | 69 |
| 3 | Metz | 36 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 57 | 31 | 26 | 66 |
| 4 | Bastia | 36 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 49 | 41 | 8 | 59 |
| 5 | Caen | 36 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 58 |
| 6 | Sochaux | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 53 | 37 | 16 | 52 |
| 7 | Paris FCParis FC | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 51 |
| 8 | Grenoble | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 51 |
| 9 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 59 | 55 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | GuingampGuingamp | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 49 |
| 11 | Quevilly | 36 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 49 |
| 12 | AmiensAmiens | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 44 |
| 13 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 43 |
| 14 | Annecy | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 42 |
| 15 | Dijon | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 41 |
| 16 | PauPau | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 41 |
| 17 | Laval | 36 | 12 | 4 | 20 | 40 | 55 | -15 | 40 |
| 18 | Valenciennes | 35 | 8 | 15 | 12 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 39 |
| 19 | Nimes | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 41 | 59 | -18 | 33 |
| 20 | NiortNiort | 36 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 32 | 62 | -30 | 28 |
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