Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amiens win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Grenoble had a probability of 29.68% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Amiens win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Grenoble win was 0-1 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
-0.11) 
0.08) 
