Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Grenoble had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Grenoble win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metz would win this match.
-0.14) 
0.16) 
