SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amiens win with a probability of 50.31%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 21.76%.
The most likely scoreline for an Amiens win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Amiens | Draw | Ajaccio |
50.31% ( -0.12) | 27.94% ( -0.01) | 21.76% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 40.64% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.44% ( 0.13) | 63.56% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.13% ( 0.09) | 82.87% ( -0.09) |
| Amiens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.37% ( 0) | 25.63% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.47% ( 0.01) | 60.53% ( -0.01) |
| Ajaccio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.65% ( 0.22) | 45.35% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 18.79% ( 0.17) | 81.22% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Amiens | Draw | Ajaccio |
| 1-0 @ 15.82% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 10.77% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.87% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0)Other @ 1.93% Total : 50.3% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.62% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.43% Total : 27.93% | 0-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.72% Total : 21.76% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Laval | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 26 |
| 2 | Angers | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | Auxerre | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 22 |
| 4 | Grenoble | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 21 |
| 5 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 21 |
| 6 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | PauPau | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 18 |
| 8 | GuingampGuingamp | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 17 |
| 9 | Ajaccio | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 17 |
| 10 | AmiensAmiens | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 16 |
| 11 | Caen | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 15 |
| 12 | Annecy | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 15 |
| 13 | Concarneau | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 15 |
| 14 | Bastia | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 13 |
| 15 | Bordeaux | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 12 |
| 16 | Paris FCParis FC | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 | Troyes | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 10 |
| 18 | Valenciennes | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 9 |
| 19 | DunkerqueDunkerque | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 9 |
| 20 | Quevilly | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 7 |
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