SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 50.29%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 25.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 0-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toulouse | Draw | Auxerre |
50.29% ( -0.24) | 24.58% ( -0.03) | 25.13% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 53.27% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.13% ( 0.33) | 48.86% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.04% ( 0.3) | 70.96% ( -0.3) |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.55% ( 0.03) | 19.44% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.71% ( 0.05) | 51.29% ( -0.05) |
| Auxerre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.13% ( 0.4) | 33.86% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.46% ( 0.43) | 70.53% ( -0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Toulouse | Draw | Auxerre |
| 1-0 @ 10.78% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 5.22% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.14% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.99% Total : 50.29% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.57% | 0-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.28% Total : 25.13% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 |
| 2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 |
| 3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
| 4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 |
| 5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 |
| 6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 |
| 7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
| 8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 |
| 9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 |
| 10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 |
| 11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
| 12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 |
| 14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 |
| 15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
| 17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
| R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 |
| R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 |
| R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
