SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 78.66%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Nice had a probability of 7.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.54%) and 1-0 (10.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.78%), while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (2.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Nice |
78.66% ( -0.11) | 14.27% ( 0.08) | 7.07% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 42.46% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.66% ( -0.28) | 39.34% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.32% ( -0.3) | 61.68% ( 0.3) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.92% ( -0.09) | 8.07% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.6% ( -0.23) | 28.39% ( 0.23) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.18% ( -0.11) | 53.81% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.84% ( -0.07) | 87.16% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Nice |
| 2-0 @ 13.75% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 11.54% 1-0 @ 10.93% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.02)6-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.98% Total : 78.65% | 1-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.51% Total : 14.27% | 0-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 2.1% ( 0)Other @ 2.28% Total : 7.07% |
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