Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 43.12%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 27.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.74%) and 1-2 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-0 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
