MX23RW : Monday, February 13 01:10:20
SM
Merseyside derby: 18 hrs 49 mins
Dec 5, 2021 at 2pm UK at Stade du Moustoir
Lorient
0 - 1
Nantes

Ouattara (26')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cyprien (83')
Coulibaly (18'), Moutoussamy (48'), Girotto (90+1')

We said: Lorient 1-2 Nantes

Surely one side has to return to winning ways here, and it is the away side who look more likely to do so. Nantes have had a tough run of games recently - and still managed to take a point away from them - so a side struggling as badly as Lorient presents them with a good chance of ending their own winless streak. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.

Result
LorientDrawNantes
40.5%27.66%31.84%
Both teams to score 48.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.52%57.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.72%78.28%
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.18%27.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.58%63.42%
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.75%33.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.14%69.87%
Score Analysis
    Lorient 40.5%
    Nantes 31.83%
    Draw 27.66%
LorientDrawNantes
1-0 @ 11.83%
2-1 @ 8.34%
2-0 @ 7.57%
3-1 @ 3.56%
3-0 @ 3.23%
3-2 @ 1.96%
4-1 @ 1.14%
4-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 40.5%
1-1 @ 13.03%
0-0 @ 9.25%
2-2 @ 4.59%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.66%
0-1 @ 10.18%
1-2 @ 7.17%
0-2 @ 5.61%
1-3 @ 2.63%
0-3 @ 2.06%
2-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 31.83%

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Ligue 1 Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG23173355203554
2Marseille23154445202549
3MonacoMonaco23145451302147
4Lens23137335181746
5Lille23125640271341
6Rennes23124742281440
7Nice2310762921837
8Lorient2310673535036
9Lyon23105835251035
10Reims2371243026433
11Toulouse239593939032
12Clermont238692431-730
13NantesNantes2361072426-228
14Montpellier HSCMontpellier2372143445-1123
15Brest2348112438-1420
16Troyes2347123352-1919
17StrasbourgStrasbourg2339112741-1418
18Ajaccio2353151841-2318
19Auxerre2336141947-2815
20Angers2324171948-2910
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