MX23RW : Thursday, February 2 00:35:38
SM
Thursday, February 2
Dec 1, 2021 at 8pm UK at La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau
Nantes
0 - 1
Marseille

Pallois (14'), Lafont (78')
Pallois (32')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gerson (30')
Gerson (71'), Gonzalez (78')

We said: Nantes 1-2 Marseille

Marseille have probably overcome enough adversity during this season to convince them that nothing can stand in their way. Games involving Nantes tend to see both teams score so we are backing a 2-1 away win on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 37.77%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Marseille in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Marseille.

Result
NantesDrawMarseille
35.1%27.12%37.77%
Both teams to score 50.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.08%54.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.79%76.2%
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.23%29.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.16%65.84%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.85%28.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.16%63.84%
Score Analysis
    Nantes 35.1%
    Marseille 37.77%
    Draw 27.12%
NantesDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 10.15%
2-1 @ 7.8%
2-0 @ 6.15%
3-1 @ 3.15%
3-0 @ 2.49%
3-2 @ 2%
4-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 35.1%
1-1 @ 12.87%
0-0 @ 8.38%
2-2 @ 4.94%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 27.12%
0-1 @ 10.62%
1-2 @ 8.16%
0-2 @ 6.73%
1-3 @ 3.45%
0-3 @ 2.85%
2-3 @ 2.09%
1-4 @ 1.09%
0-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 37.77%

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Ligue 1 Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG21163252163651
2Marseille21144342172546
3Lens21136233151845
4MonacoMonaco21125446291741
5Rennes21124540221840
6Lille2110563526935
7Lorient2110563534135
8Nice218762420431
9Clermont218672427-330
10Lyon218583023729
11Reims2161142626029
12Toulouse218583536-129
13NantesNantes2141072126-522
14Montpellier HSCMontpellier2162133143-1220
15Brest2147102334-1119
16Troyes2147103245-1319
17Ajaccio2153131837-1918
18StrasbourgStrasbourg2129102539-1415
19Auxerre2134141846-2813
20Angers2122171847-298
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