Having rediscovered their winning touch at the weekend, Nice will be confident of earning at least a share of the spoils from what feels like a pivotal match in their campaign. Nevertheless, we cannot ignore Monaco's recent upturn in form, and we think that the home side will edge a highly-competitive contest by the odd goal in three.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 66.6%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Nice had a probability of 13.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.68%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
