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Liga MX | Gameweek 5
Aug 25, 2024 at 7pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez

Toluca
2 - 1
Atletico San Luis

Gallardo (30'), Paulinho (60')
Vitinho (57')
Arteaga (69')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ronaldo Najera Reyna (37')
Ruiz (57'), Arteaga (63'), Guemez (90+2')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Atletico San Luis.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toluca 1-2 Colorado
Wednesday, August 14 at 3am in Leagues Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Toluca win with a probability of 56.79%. A win for Atletico San Luis has a probability of 22.23% and a draw has a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (7.85%) and 1-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win is 1-2 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.33%).

Result
TolucaDrawAtletico San Luis
56.79% (0.724 0.72) 20.98% (-0.175 -0.18) 22.23% (-0.552 -0.55)
Both teams to score 62.1% (-0.141 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.39% (0.15300000000001 0.15)35.6% (-0.155 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.34% (0.171 0.17)57.66% (-0.173 -0.17)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.51% (0.258 0.26)12.49% (-0.261 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.53% (0.539 0.54)38.47% (-0.542 -0.54)
Atletico San Luis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.96% (-0.374 -0.37)29.03% (0.371 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.06% (-0.464 -0.46)64.94% (0.461 0.46)
Score Analysis
    Toluca 56.79%
    Atletico San Luis 22.23%
    Draw 20.98%
TolucaDrawAtletico San Luis
2-1 @ 9.7% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.85% (0.095 0.09)
1-0 @ 7.54% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.73% (0.079 0.08)
3-0 @ 5.44% (0.119 0.12)
3-2 @ 4.16% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.5% (0.075 0.08)
4-0 @ 2.83% (0.089 0.09)
4-2 @ 2.16% (0.025 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.46% (0.046 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.18% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 56.79%
1-1 @ 9.33% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-2 @ 6% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.63% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.72% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 20.98%
1-2 @ 5.77% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-1 @ 4.49% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-2 @ 2.77% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.47% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.38% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.14% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 22.23%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Toluca 1-2 Colorado
Wednesday, August 14 at 3am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Toluca 2-2 Houston (5-4 pen.)
Saturday, August 10 at 1.30am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Toluca 2-2 Houston (5-4 pen.)
Saturday, August 10 at 1.30am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Toluca 2-1 Kansas
Tuesday, August 6 at 2am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Toluca 3-1 Chicago Fire
Friday, August 2 at 2am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Cruz Azul 1-1 Toluca
Sunday, July 21 at 4.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 4-0 Queretaro
Monday, August 19 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Orlando City 1-1 Atletico San Luis (5-4 pen.)
Monday, August 5 at 1am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 2-3 Montreal
Wednesday, July 31 at 12am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 1-1 Tijuana
Saturday, July 20 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 1-1 Tijuana
Saturday, July 20 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 2-0 Atletico San Luis
Wednesday, July 17 at 2am in Liga MX


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