SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Necaxa | 4 | -1 | 6 |
| 9 | Juarez | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| 10 | Cruz Azul | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Toluca | 4 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Tigres | 4 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Puebla | 4 | 3 | 8 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 51.65%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 21.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.66%) and 1-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Juarez win it was 1-0 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Tigres in this match.
| Result | ||
| Juarez | Draw | Tigres |
21.69% ( 0.54) | 26.65% ( 0.39) | 51.65% ( -0.93) |
| Both teams to score 43.7% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.44% ( -0.81) | 59.56% ( 0.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.1% ( -0.63) | 79.9% ( 0.63) |
| Juarez Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.92% ( 0.09) | 43.07% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.65% ( 0.08) | 79.35% ( -0.08) |
| Tigres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.76% ( -0.75) | 23.23% ( 0.75) |
