SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Santos Laguna | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Tigres | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Toluca | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Atlas | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Atletico San Luis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | CD Guadalajara | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 44.86%. A win for Atlas had a probability of 27.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.74%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest Atlas win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tigres | Draw | Atlas |
44.86% ( 3.24) | 27.52% ( -0.93) | 27.62% ( -2.31) |
| Both teams to score 46.59% ( 1.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.46% ( 2.28) | 58.54% ( -2.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.89% ( 1.75) | 79.11% ( -1.75) |
| Tigres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74% ( 2.8) | 26% ( -2.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.97% ( 3.63) | 61.03% ( -3.62) |
| Atlas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.96% ( -0.59) | 37.04% ( 0.6) |
