SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 59.73%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Pachuca had a probability of 18.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Pachuca win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cruz Azul | Draw | Pachuca |
59.73% ( 0.09) | 21.65% ( 0.17) | 18.62% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 53.74% ( -1.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.14% ( -1.2) | 43.86% ( 1.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.75% ( -1.18) | 66.24% ( 1.18) |
| Cruz Azul Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.71% ( -0.37) | 14.29% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.9% ( -0.71) | 42.09% ( 0.71) |
| Pachuca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.7% ( -1) | 37.29% ( 0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.92% ( -1) | 74.07% ( 0.99) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cruz Azul | Draw | Pachuca |
| 1-0 @ 10.36% ( 0.39) 2-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.26)2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 3.18% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.09)5-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.82% Total : 59.71% | 1-1 @ 10.22% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.27)2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.64% | 0-1 @ 5.26% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 2.59% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.46% Total : 18.62% |
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