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Liga MX | Gameweek 6
Feb 9, 2025 at 3.05am UK
Estadio Azteca

Cruz Azul
2 - 1
Pachuca

Rivero (22'), Fernandez (90')
Giakoumakis (38'), Ditta (68'), Sepulveda (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Rondon (76')
Eduardo (36')
Eduardo (84')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Cruz Azul and Pachuca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real du Cap 0-2 Cruz Azul
Wednesday, February 5 at 1am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Pachuca 1-2 Club Leon
Thursday, February 6 at 3.10am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 59.73%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Pachuca had a probability of 18.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Pachuca win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.

Result
Cruz AzulDrawPachuca
59.73% (0.090000000000003 0.09) 21.65% (0.174 0.17) 18.62% (-0.269 -0.27)
Both teams to score 53.74% (-1.084 -1.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.14% (-1.201 -1.2)43.86% (1.195 1.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.75% (-1.184 -1.18)66.24% (1.178 1.18)
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.71% (-0.366 -0.37)14.29% (0.36 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.9% (-0.712 -0.71)42.09% (0.708 0.71)
Pachuca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.7% (-0.996 -1)37.29% (0.992 0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.92% (-0.997 -1)74.07% (0.991 0.99)
Score Analysis
    Cruz Azul 59.71%
    Pachuca 18.62%
    Draw 21.64%
Cruz AzulDrawPachuca
1-0 @ 10.36% (0.394 0.39)
2-0 @ 10.08% (0.257 0.26)
2-1 @ 9.95% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.54% (0.086 0.09)
3-1 @ 6.45% (-0.089 -0.09)
4-0 @ 3.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.132 -0.13)
4-1 @ 3.14% (-0.086 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.085 -0.09)
5-0 @ 1.24% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.22% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 59.71%
1-1 @ 10.22% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 5.33% (0.273 0.27)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.64%
0-1 @ 5.26% (0.134 0.13)
1-2 @ 5.04% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-2 @ 2.59% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.66% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 18.62%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Real du Cap 0-2 Cruz Azul
Wednesday, February 5 at 1am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Tijuana 2-3 Cruz Azul
Saturday, February 1 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 1-3 Cruz Azul
Wednesday, January 29 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 1-1 Puebla
Saturday, January 25 at 11pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 1-0 Cruz Azul
Saturday, January 18 at 11pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 1-1 Atlas
Sunday, January 12 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 1-2 Club Leon
Thursday, February 6 at 3.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 0-0 Atlas
Sunday, February 2 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Queretaro 0-1 Pachuca
Thursday, January 30 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 2-3 Pachuca
Sunday, January 26 at 3.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 2-1 Santos Laguna
Tuesday, January 21 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Real Madrid 3-0 Pachuca
Wednesday, December 18 at 5pm in FIFA Intercontinental Cup


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