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Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Jan 29, 2025 at 1am UK
Estadio Azteca

America
3 - 0
Atletico San Luis

Davila (16', 43'), Fidalgo (49')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Vitinho (24')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club America and Atletico San Luis.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Santos Laguna 1-4 America
Sunday, January 26 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 0-3 Necaxa
Saturday, January 25 at 1am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 60.53%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 17.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for an Atletico San Luis win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.

Result
Club AmericaDrawAtletico San Luis
60.53% (0.699 0.7) 21.83% (-0.144 -0.14) 17.63% (-0.551 -0.55)
Both teams to score 51.25% (-0.58 -0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.75% (-0.243 -0.24)46.25% (0.247 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.46% (-0.231 -0.23)68.54% (0.23400000000001 0.23)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.17% (0.145 0.14)14.82% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.88% (0.273 0.27)43.12% (-0.269 -0.27)
Atletico San Luis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.17% (-0.783 -0.78)39.83% (0.78700000000001 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.51% (-0.729 -0.73)76.49% (0.73299999999999 0.73)
Score Analysis
    Club America 60.52%
    Atletico San Luis 17.64%
    Draw 21.83%
Club AmericaDrawAtletico San Luis
1-0 @ 11.27% (0.18 0.18)
2-0 @ 10.75% (0.22 0.22)
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.85% (0.172 0.17)
3-1 @ 6.3% (0.025 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.27% (0.098 0.1)
4-1 @ 3.01% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.25% (0.043 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.15% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 60.52%
1-1 @ 10.37% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.9% (0.061 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.104 -0.1)
Other @ 1%
Total : 21.83%
0-1 @ 5.44% (-0.061000000000001 -0.06)
1-2 @ 4.78% (-0.133 -0.13)
0-2 @ 2.5% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.47% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 17.64%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Santos Laguna 1-4 America
Sunday, January 26 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-2 America (3-2 pen.)
Sunday, January 19 at 3am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: America 1-1 Tijuana
Friday, January 17 at 2.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Queretaro 0-1 America
Saturday, January 11 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 1-1 America
Monday, December 16 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 2-1 Monterrey
Friday, December 13 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 0-3 Necaxa
Saturday, January 25 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 1-2 Atletico San Luis
Saturday, January 18 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 1-3 Tigres
Saturday, January 11 at 11pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 5-1 Atletico San Luis
Sunday, December 8 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 2-1 Monterrey
Thursday, December 5 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tigres 0-0 Atletico San Luis
Monday, December 2 at 1am in Liga MX


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