SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for Pachuca had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Pachuca win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atlas | Draw | Pachuca |
41.49% ( 1.67) | 24.52% ( 0.34) | 33.99% ( -2.02) |
| Both teams to score 59.02% ( -1.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.18% ( -1.99) | 43.82% ( 1.99) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.79% ( -1.98) | 66.21% ( 1.98) |
| Atlas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.8% ( -0.07) | 21.2% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.92% ( -0.1) | 54.08% ( 0.1) |
| Pachuca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.9% ( -2.05) | 25.1% ( 2.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.21% ( -2.92) | 59.79% ( 2.92) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atlas | Draw | Pachuca |
| 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.68)2-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.52)3-1 @ 4.58% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.26)3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.65% Total : 41.49% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.22)0-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.45)3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.51% | 1-2 @ 7.89% ( -0.27) 0-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.35)2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.28)0-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.22)1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.21)2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.64% Total : 33.99% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Club AmericaAmerica | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 40 |
| 2 | MonterreyMonterrey | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 33 |
| 3 | Tigres | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
| 4 | PumasPumas | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 28 |
| 5 | CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 27 |
| 6 | Atletico San Luis | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 23 |
| 7 | Club TijuanaTijuana | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
| 8 | Club Leon | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
| 9 | Santos LagunaSantos Laguna | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 23 |
| 10 | MazatlanMazatlan | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 22 |
| 11 | PueblaPuebla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 22 |
| 12 | PachucaPachuca | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 22 |
| 13 | TolucaToluca | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
| 14 | QueretaroQueretaro | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 19 |
| 15 | Juarez | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 18 |
| 16 | Cruz AzulCruz Azul | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 17 |
| 17 | Atlas | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 17 |
| 18 | NecaxaNecaxa | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 15 |
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