SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 37.44%. A win for Atlas had a probability of 37.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Atlas win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atlas | Draw | Pachuca |
37.24% ( 0.08) | 25.32% ( 0.03) | 37.44% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 56.63% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.89% ( -0.13) | 47.1% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.65% ( -0.12) | 69.34% ( 0.13) |
| Atlas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.2% ( -0.02) | 24.8% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.62% ( -0.03) | 59.37% ( 0.03) |
| Pachuca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.31% ( -0.12) | 24.69% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.78% ( -0.16) | 59.22% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atlas | Draw | Pachuca |
| 1-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.87% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 1.83% Total : 37.24% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.31% | 0-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.35% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.84% Total : 37.44% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Club AmericaAmerica | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 38 |
| 2 | MonterreyMonterrey | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 35 |
| 3 | Santos LagunaSantos Laguna | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 33 |
| 4 | PachucaPachuca | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 32 |
| 5 | Tigres | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 30 |
| 6 | TolucaToluca | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 27 |
| 7 | Cruz AzulCruz Azul | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 24 |
| 8 | PueblaPuebla | 17 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 22 |
| 9 | CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
| 10 | Club Leon | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 22 |
| 11 | Juarez | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
| 12 | NecaxaNecaxa | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
| 13 | Atletico San Luis | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
| 14 | MazatlanMazatlan | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 17 |
| 15 | Club TijuanaTijuana | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 17 |
| 16 | PumasPumas | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 14 |
| 17 | Atlas | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 13 |
| 18 | QueretaroQueretaro | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 9 |
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