SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City win with a probability of 58.58%. A win for Arsenal has a probability of 22.1% and a draw has a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (7.12%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Arsenal win is 1-2 (5.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (7.71%).
| Result | ||
| Manchester City | Draw | Arsenal |
58.58% ( 2.86) | 19.31% ( -1.57) | 22.1% ( -1.29) |
| Both teams to score 68.33% ( 4.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.46% ( 6.2) | 27.53% ( -6.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.84% ( 7.4) | 48.16% ( -7.4) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.49% ( 2.68) | 9.5% ( -2.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 68.13% ( 5.97) | 31.86% ( -5.97) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.5% ( 2.55) | 24.49% ( -2.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.05% ( 3.46) | 58.95% ( -3.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City | Draw | Arsenal |
| 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.48) 3-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.42)2-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.85)1-0 @ 5.48% ( -1.46)3-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.63)4-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.66)4-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.28)4-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.64)5-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.49)5-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.27)5-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.42)4-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.38)Other @ 4.17% Total : 58.58% | 1-1 @ 7.71% ( -1.37) 2-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.44)0-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.97)Other @ 0.56% Total : 19.31% | 1-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.51) 0-1 @ 3.27% ( -1.04)2-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.27)1-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.52)0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.15)2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.16)Other @ 3.44% Total : 22.1% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 32 | 23 | 6 | 3 | 77 | 34 | 43 | 75 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 30 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 78 | 28 | 50 | 70 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 31 | 16 | 11 | 4 | 54 | 25 | 29 | 59 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 59 |
| 5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 53 |
| 6 | Aston Villa | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 45 | 41 | 4 | 51 |
| 7 | Liverpool | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 59 | 38 | 21 | 50 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 49 |
| 9 | Fulham | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 45 |
| 10 | Brentford | 32 | 10 | 14 | 8 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 44 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 39 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 37 |
| 13 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 34 |
| 14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 34 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 31 | 63 | -32 | 33 |
| 16 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 41 | 62 | -21 | 29 |
| 17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 32 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 28 |
| 18 | Everton | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 24 | 46 | -22 | 28 |
| 19 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26 | 59 | -33 | 27 |
| 20 | Southampton | 32 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 24 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
