SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 45.89%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Walsall | Draw | Newport County |
45.89% ( -0.05) | 25.47% ( 0.01) | 28.64% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 53.3% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.82% ( 0.01) | 50.18% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.86% ( 0.01) | 72.14% ( -0.01) |
| Walsall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.14% ( -0.02) | 21.86% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.91% ( -0.03) | 55.1% ( 0.03) |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.21% ( 0.04) | 31.79% ( -0.04) |
