SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 53.37%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 23.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Stockport County in this match.
| Result | ||
| Stockport County | Draw | Notts County |
53.37% ( 0.05) | 22.65% | 23.98% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 58.43% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.55% ( -0.05) | 41.45% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.15% ( -0.05) | 63.85% ( 0.05) |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.45% ( -0) | 15.54% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.52% ( -0) | 44.47% ( 0) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.19% ( -0.07) | 30.81% ( 0.07) |
