SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 50.69%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.59%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Notts County win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | Stockport County |
27.55% ( -0.4) | 21.76% ( -0.14) | 50.69% ( 0.54) |
| Both teams to score 65.41% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.11% ( 0.37) | 33.88% ( -0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.26% ( 0.42) | 55.73% ( -0.42) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.84% ( -0.07) | 24.15% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.53% ( -0.09) | 58.47% ( 0.1) |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.24% ( 0.31) | 13.75% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.96% ( 0.61) | 41.04% ( -0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Notts County | Draw | Stockport County |
| 2-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 2.74% Total : 27.55% | 1-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.6% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.41% Total : 21.76% | 1-2 @ 9.29% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 6.54% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 6.14% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 4.36% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 4.32% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 3.05% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 2.16% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 2.14% ( 0.05)1-5 @ 1.21% ( 0.04)3-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.85% Total : 50.69% |
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