SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 36.65%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 0-1 (11.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Leyton Orient |
36.65% ( -0.62) | 28.05% ( 0.38) | 35.3% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 47.63% ( -1.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.55% ( -1.42) | 58.45% ( 1.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.96% ( -1.13) | 79.04% ( 1.13) |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.44% ( -1.08) | 30.56% ( 1.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.22% ( -1.3) | 66.79% ( 1.31) |
| Leyton Orient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.59% ( -0.56) | 31.41% ( 0.57) |
