SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Sutton United |
31.13% ( -0.01) | 27.84% ( 0) | 41.03% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 47.42% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.68% ( -0.01) | 58.32% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.06% ( -0.01) | 78.94% ( 0.01) |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.8% ( -0.01) | 34.2% ( 0.01) |
