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League Two | Gameweek 20
Dec 7, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Wetherby Road
FG
Harrogate
1 - 4
Forest Green
Kerry (57')
Falkingham (37'), Kerry (88')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Aitchison (21'), Cadden (26'), Matt (45'), Stevens (73')

We said: Harrogate Town 1-2 Forest Green Rovers

Two of the highest scoring teams in the division competing against each other should result in an exciting midweek encounter between two sides hoping for promotion. Each are in good confidence, but Forest Green Rovers should have the attacking qualities to just edge this particular fixture in order to keep their dominance at the top of the league. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 49.78%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 24.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 1-0 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawForest Green Rovers
24.99%25.22%49.78%
Both teams to score 51.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.39%51.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.6%73.4%
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.53%35.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.77%72.23%
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.25%20.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.62%53.38%
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 24.99%
    Forest Green Rovers 49.78%
    Draw 25.22%
Harrogate TownDrawForest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 7.63%
2-1 @ 6.22%
2-0 @ 3.95%
3-1 @ 2.15%
3-2 @ 1.69%
3-0 @ 1.37%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 24.99%
1-1 @ 11.99%
0-0 @ 7.36%
2-2 @ 4.89%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 25.22%
0-1 @ 11.57%
1-2 @ 9.43%
0-2 @ 9.1%
1-3 @ 4.95%
0-3 @ 4.77%
2-3 @ 2.56%
1-4 @ 1.95%
0-4 @ 1.88%
2-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 49.78%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Stockport CountyStockport27166556272954
2Wrexham26157454361852
3Mansfield TownMansfield261311245212450
4BarrowBarrow271310440261449
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe27138650401047
6Notts County27134106052843
7MK Dons2512674132942
8Gillingham26132112331-841
9Harrogate TownHarrogate27124113435-140
10AFC Wimbledon26109741301139
11Crawley TownCrawley27123124345-239
12Accrington StanleyAccrington27115114138338
13Walsall26106104039136
14Bradford CityBradford2798103436-235
15Swindon TownSwindon2897125054-434
16Morecambe259793842-434
17Newport CountyNewport2797113945-634
18Tranmere RoversTranmere28103154342133
19Grimsby Town27610114049-928
20Doncaster RoversDoncaster2784153147-1628
21Salford City2776143548-1327
22Colchester UnitedColchester2874173855-1725
23Sutton UnitedSutton2647153054-2419
24Forest Green RoversForest Green2646162648-2218
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