We said: Portsmouth 0-1 Harrogate Town
Whilst it is Pompey in the higher division, with the better pedigree and with home advantage, they will be resting some senior players and Harrogate are a determined side on a roll. Therefore, we are backing an upset via a narrow away victory.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 51.06%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 24.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.
