SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 47.4%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 25.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.36%) and 1-2 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Leyton Orient in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Leyton Orient.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Leyton Orient |
25.48% ( -1.44) | 27.11% ( -0.33) | 47.4% ( 1.77) |
| Both teams to score 46.18% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.71% ( 0.31) | 58.29% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.08% ( 0.24) | 78.92% ( -0.24) |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.28% ( -1.08) | 38.72% ( 1.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.54% ( -1.04) | 75.46% ( 1.04) |
| Leyton Orient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.36% ( 1) | 24.64% ( -1) |
