SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Stevenage | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Barrow | 4 | 2 | 9 |
| 6 | Crewe Alexandra | 4 | 2 | 9 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Walsall | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | Harrogate Town | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 | Mansfield Town | 4 | 1 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 46.77%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 26.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barrow in this match.
| Result | ||
| Barrow | Draw | Harrogate Town |
46.77% ( -0.19) | 26.44% ( -0.15) | 26.79% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 49.08% ( 0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.94% ( 0.75) | 55.05% ( -0.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.68% ( 0.62) | 76.31% ( -0.62) |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.48% ( 0.23) | 23.52% ( -0.24) |
