Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 36.89%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-0 (11.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.