SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Salford City | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Barrow | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Northampton Town | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Sutton United | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Bradford City | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Doncaster Rovers | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 36.89%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-0 (11.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barrow | Draw | Bradford City |
34.8% ( 0.49) | 28.32% ( 0.31) | 36.89% ( -0.8) |
| Both teams to score 46.82% ( -0.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.56% ( -1.1) | 59.44% ( 1.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.19% ( -0.85) | 79.81% ( 0.85) |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.76% ( -0.23) | 32.24% ( 0.24) |
