AFC Wimbledon have flown out of the blocks this year as they aim for a strong second half of the season in their bid for automatic promotion to League One. Accrington have struggled for consistency this season and while we expect them to put up a fight in front of their home supporters, we are backing the Dons to come away with the desired result.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 50.3%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 23.07%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.13%) and 1-2 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 1-0 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
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