Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
14 | Charlton Athletic | 3 | 0 | 4 |
15 | Shrewsbury Town | 3 | 0 | 4 |
16 | Port Vale | 3 | -3 | 4 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Cambridge United | 3 | 1 | 6 |
7 | Derby County | 3 | 1 | 6 |
8 | Bolton Wanderers | 3 | 3 | 5 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 43.16%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Derby County |
29.4% ( -0.01) | 27.44% ( 0) | 43.16% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 47.81% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.53% ( -0.03) | 57.47% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.72% ( -0.02) | 78.27% ( 0.02) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.95% ( -0.03) | 35.05% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.21% ( -0.03) | 71.79% ( 0.03) |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.61% ( -0.01) | 26.39% ( 0.01) |