We said: Portsmouth 1-1 Barnsley
Portsmouth have only lost two of their 13 home league games this season, and with seven of those matches ending all square, we think that the hosts could play out another draw when they face Barnsley on Saturday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 44.64%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result |
| Portsmouth | Draw | Barnsley |
44.64% ( 0.01) | 25.54% ( -0) | 29.81% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 53.79% ( 0) |
| 50.13% ( 0.01) | 49.87% ( -0.01) |
| 28.13% ( 0) | 71.86% ( -0) |
| 77.7% ( 0) | 22.3% ( -0) |
