SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 65.02%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 14.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
65.02% ( -0.02) | 20.24% ( -0.02) | 14.73% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 49.97% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.34% ( 0.16) | 44.66% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.98% ( 0.15) | 67.02% ( -0.15) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.05% ( 0.04) | 12.95% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.58% ( 0.09) | 39.42% ( -0.09) |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.4% ( 0.15) | 42.6% ( -0.15) |
