Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 39.35%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.78%) and 1-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (11.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
