SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lincoln City | Draw | Burton Albion |
43.05% ( 0.94) | 26.77% ( -0.02) | 30.18% ( -0.92) |
| Both teams to score 50.17% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.36% ( -0.25) | 54.64% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.02% ( -0.21) | 75.98% ( 0.21) |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.84% ( 0.37) | 25.16% ( -0.37) |
