We said: Exeter City 1-1 Charlton Athletic
Only four points separates these two sides coming into this clash, so we can see this being a closely-fought contest.
Charlton got the better of Exeter in the reverse fixture back in October, but the Addicks' away form leaves a lot to be desired, so we think the spoils will be shared.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 46.72%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result |
| Exeter City | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
| 46.72% | 25.09% | 28.2% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 54.24% |
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