SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 58.45%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 19.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Exeter City win it was 1-2 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | Exeter City |
58.45% ( -0.07) | 21.65% ( 0.02) | 19.9% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 56.01% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.05% ( 0.01) | 41.94% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.65% ( 0.01) | 64.35% ( -0) |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.94% ( -0.02) | 14.06% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.36% ( -0.04) | 41.64% ( 0.04) |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.17% ( 0.05) | 34.82% ( -0.05) |
