MX23RW : Monday, May 8 18:15:45
SM
Forest vs. Southampton: 44 mins
CU
League One | Gameweek 46
May 7, 2023 at 12pm UK
Abbey Stadium
FG
Cambridge
2 - 0
Forest Green
Dunk (25'), Smith (37')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Bunker (74'), Cooper (79')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 1-0 Cambridge
Wednesday, May 3 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Cambridge United 2-0 Forest Green Rovers

We think the U's will be licking their lips at this fixture as they are taking on a Forest Green Rovers side that are in woeful form. Bonner's side need a victory to try and beat the drop, so we are expecting a fast start from Cambridge to set the tone. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 51.16%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 23.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 0-1 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Cambridge United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Cambridge United.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawForest Green Rovers
51.16% (-2.416 -2.42) 25.48% (0.959 0.96) 23.36% (1.457 1.46)
Both teams to score 48.71% (-1.083 -1.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.03% (-2.307 -2.31)53.96% (2.309 2.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.59% (-1.97 -1.97)75.41% (1.969 1.97)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.88% (-1.893 -1.89)21.12% (1.893 1.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.04% (-3.03 -3.03)53.96% (3.03 3.03)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.75% (0.107 0.11)38.24% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25% (0.103 0.1)75% (-0.102 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 51.15%
    Forest Green Rovers 23.36%
    Draw 25.48%
Cambridge UnitedDrawForest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 12.55% (0.4 0.4)
2-0 @ 9.77% (-0.255 -0.25)
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.221 -0.22)
3-0 @ 5.06% (-0.448 -0.45)
3-1 @ 4.87% (-0.416 -0.42)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.193 -0.19)
4-0 @ 1.97% (-0.303 -0.3)
4-1 @ 1.89% (-0.285 -0.29)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.134 -0.13)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 51.15%
1-1 @ 12.07% (0.42 0.42)
0-0 @ 8.08% (0.704 0.7)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 25.48%
0-1 @ 7.76% (0.697 0.7)
1-2 @ 5.8% (0.218 0.22)
0-2 @ 3.73% (0.345 0.35)
1-3 @ 1.86% (0.075 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.2% (0.113 0.11)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 23.36%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-0 Cambridge
Wednesday, May 3 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Accrington 1-2 Cambridge
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Plymouth 3-1 Cambridge
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 1-2 Wycombe
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 2-0 Peterborough
Saturday, April 15 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 1-1 Cambridge
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Forest Green 0-3 Oxford Utd
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 3-1 Forest Green
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Forest Green 0-0 Fleetwood
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Forest Green 1-5 Barnsley
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wycombe 2-0 Forest Green
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Forest Green 0-2 Derby
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One
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League One Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPlymouth ArgylePlymouth463187824735101
3Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds462812681374496
4Barnsley462681280473386
5Bolton WanderersBolton4623121162362681
6Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462451775542177
7Derby CountyDerby4621131267462176
8Portsmouth4617191061501170
9Wycombe WanderersWycombe46209175951869
10Charlton AthleticCharlton461614167066462
11Lincoln CityLincoln461420124747062
12Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46178215261-959
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood461416165351258
14Exeter CityExeter461511206468-456
15Burton Albion461511205779-2256
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham461412204561-1654
17Bristol Rovers461411215873-1553
18Port Vale461310234871-2349
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461114214956-747
20Cambridge UnitedCambridge46137264168-2746
RMK Dons461112234466-2245
RMorecambe461014224778-3144
RAccrington StanleyAccrington461111244077-3744
RForest Green RoversForest Green4669313189-5827
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