SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Exeter City | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 10 | Cambridge United | 5 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | Port Vale | 5 | -2 | 7 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | MK Dons | 5 | -4 | 4 |
| 23 | Morecambe | 5 | -4 | 3 |
| 24 | Burton Albion | 5 | -10 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 37.43%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cambridge United | Draw | Burton Albion |
36.11% ( 0.02) | 26.46% ( 0.04) | 37.43% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 52.69% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.87% ( -0.14) | 52.13% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.15% ( -0.13) | 73.85% ( 0.12) |
| Cambridge United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.2% ( -0.05) | 27.8% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.61% ( -0.07) | 63.39% ( 0.07) |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.97% ( -0.1) | 27.03% ( 0.1) |
