Keeping a clean sheet in each of their last five home matches in League One, Birmingham should be supremely confident of repeating the trick against a Rotherham outfit who are poor travellers.
The Millers squeezed past the attentions of strugglers Cambridge earlier in the week, although we believe that they will have no such fortune against the title favourites.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 64.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 14.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.89%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.01) 
