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Man United vs. Brighton 15 hrs 41 mins
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League One | Gameweek 27
Jan 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
EC

Birmingham
1 - 0
Exeter

Laird (45+2')
Leonard (36'), Klarer (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Woods (12'), McMillan (34'), Watts (52'), Harper (69')
McMillan (90+13')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swindon 1-2 Birmingham
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Exeter 3-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, January 11 at 3pm in FA Cup

We said: Birmingham City 2-0 Exeter City

Although Exeter may feel encouraged that Birmingham have not always been convincing of late, we can only see one winner here. The dominant victory over Wigan should stand Blues in good stead and lead to another comfortable win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Birmingham City win with a probability of 68.71%. A draw has a probability of 19.1% and a win for Exeter City has a probability of 12.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win is 2-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (12.08%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Exeter City win it is 0-1 (4.32%).

Result
Birmingham CityDrawExeter City
68.71% (0.354 0.35) 19.13% (-0.22 -0.22) 12.16% (-0.138 -0.14)
Both teams to score 46.43% (0.285 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.42% (0.616 0.62)45.58% (-0.618 -0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.09% (0.583 0.58)67.9% (-0.587 -0.59)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.82% (0.279 0.28)12.18% (-0.282 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.18% (0.58799999999999 0.59)37.82% (-0.591 -0.59)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.87% (0.156 0.16)47.12% (-0.16 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.42% (0.119 0.12)82.58% (-0.121 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 68.7%
    Exeter City 12.16%
    Draw 19.13%
Birmingham CityDrawExeter City
2-0 @ 12.72% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
1-0 @ 12.08% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 9.57% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 8.93% (0.058 0.06)
3-1 @ 6.72% (0.073 0.07)
4-0 @ 4.7% (0.081 0.08)
4-1 @ 3.54% (0.077 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.039 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.98% (0.056 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.49% (0.048 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 68.7%
1-1 @ 9.09% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-0 @ 5.74% (-0.153 -0.15)
2-2 @ 3.6% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 19.13%
0-1 @ 4.32% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
1-2 @ 3.42% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.63% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 0.9% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 12.16%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Swindon 1-2 Birmingham
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Birmingham 2-1 Lincoln
Saturday, January 11 at 12pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Wigan 0-3 Birmingham
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stockport 1-1 Birmingham
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Birmingham 0-0 Blackpool
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Birmingham 2-0 Burton Albion
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 3-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, January 11 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Exeter 1-2 Bolton
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wycombe 2-1 Exeter
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 4-4 Crawley
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 3-1 Bristol Rovers
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-2 Exeter
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League One


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