Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 46.86%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 28.17% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%).
0.03) 
-0.04) 
