SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Bolton Wanderers | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Accrington Stanley | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 12 | Wycombe Wanderers | 6 | 0 | 7 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portsmouth | 6 | 8 | 14 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town | 6 | 8 | 14 |
| 3 | Sheffield Wednesday | 6 | 7 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 54.77%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 21.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.82%) and 0-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 1-0 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Ipswich Town |
21.93% ( 0.16) | 23.3% ( -0.32) | 54.77% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 53.61% ( 1.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.39% ( 1.54) | 46.61% ( -1.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.12% ( 1.43) | 68.88% ( -1.42) |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.51% ( 1.02) | 35.49% ( -1.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.75% ( 1.04) | 72.25% ( -1.04) |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.1% ( 0.62) | 16.9% ( -0.61) |
