Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Ipswich Town and Northampton Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ipswich 2-2 Barnsley
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League One
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portsmouth | 6 | 8 | 14 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town | 6 | 8 | 14 |
| 3 | Sheffield Wednesday | 6 | 7 | 13 |
Last Game: Northampton 0-1 Doncaster
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Stevenage | 6 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | Northampton Town | 6 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Crewe Alexandra | 6 | 2 | 11 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Northampton Town |
45.17% ( 0.55) | 26.05% ( -0) | 28.77% ( -0.55) |
| Both teams to score 51.57% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
