SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 50.01%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Waterford United had a probability of 23.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.88%) and 1-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Waterford United win it was 1-0 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Derry City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Waterford United | Draw | Derry City |
23.63% ( 0.02) | 26.37% ( 0.02) | 50.01% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 46.54% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.03% ( -0.05) | 56.97% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.13% ( -0.04) | 77.87% ( 0.04) |
| Waterford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.33% ( -0) | 39.67% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.65% ( -0) | 76.35% ( 0.01) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.14% ( -0.04) | 22.87% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.4% ( -0.06) | 56.61% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Waterford United | Draw | Derry City |
| 1-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.72% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.76% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.3% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 1.39% Total : 23.63% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.22% ( -0)Other @ 0.7% Total : 26.36% | 0-1 @ 13.38% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.88% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 9.13% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.86% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.49% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.79% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.74% Total : 50% |
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