SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galway United win with a probability of 38.56%. A win for Shelbourne had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galway United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Shelbourne win was 1-0 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shelbourne | Draw | Galway United |
35.77% ( 0.22) | 25.67% ( 0.09) | 38.56% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 55.32% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.24% ( -0.36) | 48.76% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.13% ( -0.33) | 70.86% ( 0.33) |
| Shelbourne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.6% ( -0.04) | 26.4% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.44% ( -0.05) | 61.55% ( 0.06) |
| Galway United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.16% ( -0.32) | 24.84% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.57% ( -0.45) | 59.43% ( 0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shelbourne | Draw | Galway United |
| 1-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.6% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.24% Total : 35.77% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.47% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.79% Total : 38.56% |
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